AI research tools for curious forecasters
Choose a tool, learn what it can tell you, and try a worked example. Each guide includes steps, limitations, troubleshooting, and a paper-practice exercise.
Advanced research · AI tools first
Find a question. Test the evidence. Explore the uncertainty.
Start with a topic you want to understand. Use each tool for the question it can actually answer, then record a paper forecast for fun and learning.
Find a topic to research →NEW · Invited preview · EODHD + Jev
Financial Evidence
Inspect dated financial news and price history, with AI labels for supporting, challenging, or missing evidence.
Financial context only. Jev labels evidence; it does not estimate the chance of an outcome.
AI · Market assessment
AI Analyzer
Turn a market question into an initial assessment, assumptions, and mathematical scenarios to investigate.
Account limits apply. Verify claims against primary sources before using a model estimate.
AI · TimesFM
Drift Radar
Explore possible YES-price paths and uncertainty bands using available Polymarket price history.
A price-path forecast is not an outcome probability. Short histories may produce no usable forecast.
AI · Beta · Topic exploration
Signal Intelligence
Explore a topic’s proposed narratives, keyword themes, and questions for further research.
Unsourced signal scores are research prompts, not verified evidence or calibrated probabilities.
Your research starting point
Find a topic to research
1. Choose a question. 2. Read its original rules. 3. Open an AI tool with that question already filled in. Opening Research does not run AI; you choose when to request an analysis.
Up to 100 listings per venue, ordered here by reported 24-hour activity within that venue. Polymarket reports dollar volume; Kalshi reports contracts. Activity is a discovery aid, not evidence of accuracy, liquidity, low risk, or a good bet. Verify prices, deadlines, and rules at the original source.
Guides are open to everyone. Tool availability varies: some features have account or premium requirements, and Financial Evidence is an invited preview. Live data and AI services may be unavailable.
See all tools applied to five worked market studies →All tools & how-to guides
Financial Evidence: EODHD + Jev
Inspect dated financial context and ask whether supplied articles actually bear on the question.
AI Market Analyzer
Organize a market question and inspect how your assumptions shape an AI-assisted analysis.
Drift Radar
Explore a model’s forecast of contract-price movement, separate from the eventual event outcome.
Research Workspace
Turn a broad topic into a question with evidence you can inspect.
Market Browser
Learn to turn an interesting headline into a precisely defined forecasting question.
Daily Market Desk
Build a short, repeatable observation routine without acting on every price move.
Expected Value Calculator
Explore how a probability assumption changes a mathematical average across hypothetical repetitions.
Kelly Criterion Calculator
Study how sensitive a theoretical allocation formula is to an uncertain probability estimate.
Arbitrage Scanner
Investigate why related prices may fail a simple consistency check.
Parlay Builder
Understand why the chance of several events all happening shrinks, and why dependence matters.
Historical Calibration
Learn to compare probability groups with observed frequencies while checking the data behind a chart.
Vig & Implied Probability Calculator
Learn what the sum of two quoted prices says—and what normalization cannot tell you.
Cross-Platform Comparison
Compare how different groups express uncertainty about similar events.
Dual Market View
Use automatically suggested pairs as leads for a careful comparison.
Triple Market View
Compare market prices with a forecasting community’s estimates without confusing the measures.
Portfolio Tracker
Keep a fictional position ledger to understand units, arithmetic, and record keeping.