HOW TO · PAPER PRACTICE

How to use AI Market Analyzer

Organize a market question and inspect how your assumptions shape an AI-assisted analysis.

Before you start

Bring a current market URL and a probability estimate you can explain. AI availability and account limits may vary.

Open AI Market Analyzer

Step by step

  1. Paste a URL or slug into Market URL or Search and select Load Market, or choose a listing from the live browser.
  2. Verify the selected question and its rules before entering Your Estimated YES Probability (%).
  3. Enter only a fictional point budget in Your Bankroll ($), then select Analyze Market.
  4. Check every cited source against the claim it supports. Separate your input-derived calculations from any AI-written context.

Worked example

If you enter 60% against a 50% quote, the ten-point difference comes from your assumption. An AI summary repeating it is not a second independent forecast.

What the result means

A research signal can be wrong, stale, or based on incomplete information. Kelly sizing and an ‘edge’ label do not validate the probability you supplied.

If something goes wrong

If a market will not load, check the URL on the original platform or select another listing. If the AI call fails, retain the source notes and avoid inventing a replacement analysis.

Check your understanding

List one claim supported by a primary source and one claim that remains uncertain. Repeat with a lower probability assumption.