Disclaimer

Not Financial Advice

The tools, calculators, content, commentary, data feeds, written posts, AI-generated output, and any other information provided on PolyMath (the “Site”), operated by Polymath Ventures LLC(“we,” “us,” “our”), are offered strictly for educational, informational, and entertainment purposes only.

Nothing on this Site constitutes — and nothing should be construed as — financial, investment, trading, legal, tax, regulatory, or accounting advice, a recommendation, solicitation, or offer to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument, security, derivative, cryptocurrency, futures contract, prediction-market contract, or any other asset.

No Reliance

You should not rely on any output, calculation, projection, probability estimate, AI-generated analysis, written post, or other content on this Site when making any financial, investment, or trading decision. All calculator outputs are based entirely on inputs you supply and publicly available third-party data (including, without limitation, Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus, and other APIs).

Polymath Ventures LLC makes no representation or warranty — express or implied — as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, correctness, or reliability of any output, data feed, probability estimate, AI output, or other content on this Site. Market data may be delayed, stale, incomplete, inaccurate, or unavailable. Third-party APIs may change without notice. AI-generated analysis may be wrong, hallucinate, or misinterpret markets.

Substantial Risk of Loss

Prediction-market trading, speculative trading, and trading in any financial or quasi-financial instrument involve substantial risk of loss, including the total loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Probabilities — implied or calculated — are estimates, not guarantees.

Prediction markets may be unavailable, restricted, or illegal in your jurisdiction. In particular (and without limitation): Polymarket is currently not available to residents of the United States; Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange available only in certain U.S. jurisdictions; Metaculus is primarily a forecasting platform, not a trading venue. It is your sole responsibility to understand and comply with all applicable laws, regulations, and platform terms of service in your jurisdiction before using or trading on any prediction market.

No Fiduciary or Advisory Relationship

No fiduciary, advisory, broker-dealer, or professional relationship is created by your use of this Site. Polymath Ventures LLC is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor, or fiduciary of any kind. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial adviser, attorney, accountant, or tax professional before making any financial, legal, or trading decision.

AI-Generated Content

The Site includes AI-generated analysis (including the AI Market Analyzer feature). AI models produce probabilistic output that may be incorrect, incomplete, biased, or fabricated (“hallucinations”). Do not rely on AI output as factual, accurate, or predictive. All AI-generated content is subject to the same no-reliance and no-advice disclaimers above.

Third-Party Marks and Platforms

“Polymarket,” “Kalshi,” “Metaculus,” “Manifold,” “PredictIt,” and all other third-party platform names, logos, and marks referenced on this Site are the property of their respective owners. Polymath Ventures LLC is an independent project and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or connected to Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus, Manifold, PredictIt, or any other platform referenced. References are made solely for informational and educational purposes.

Limitation of Liability

To the maximum extent permitted by law, Polymath Ventures LLC, its members, managers, officers, employees, contractors, affiliates, licensors, and suppliers disclaim all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special, exemplary, or punitive damages, losses, or consequences arising from — or in any way related to — your access to or use of (or inability to use) this Site, its tools, data, content, or any third-party platform or service referenced on this Site. This includes, without limitation, trading losses, missed opportunities, data errors, service outages, and reliance on any output or content.

Changes

We may update this Disclaimer at any time without notice. Continued use of the Site after changes constitutes acceptance of the updated Disclaimer.

Contact

Questions about this Disclaimer: legal@polymathtools.ai