HOW TO · PAPER PRACTICE

How to use Daily Market Desk

Build a short, repeatable observation routine without acting on every price move.

Before you start

Choose a single question and keep a paper notebook. Data and AI panels may have different update times.

Open Daily Market Desk

Step by step

  1. Read Desk Status before reviewing market movement. Note unavailable or stale feeds.
  2. Use the Watchlist and Daily Workflow to choose a question to investigate.
  3. Read the original resolution rules, then follow the research and analysis links relevant to that question.
  4. Compare the new evidence with your previous paper forecast. Record a revised probability only if you can explain the change.

Worked example

Your paper estimate is 55%. A headline moves a market to 65%, but the article describes a proposal rather than the required official decision. Keep the distinction in your notes instead of copying the new price.

What the result means

Signal Provenance tells you where a result came from. Several panels repeating the same article are one piece of evidence, not independent confirmations.

If something goes wrong

If a panel is unavailable, continue with the named primary source or pause. Do not substitute an old forecast without marking its date.

Check your understanding

Spend ten minutes on one question. End with a dated estimate, one supporting source, and one unanswered question.